|  Author | Topic: Rudd Government Polls (Read 1,240 times) |
normangunston
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|  | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #15 on Sept 23, 2008, 12:39am » | |
Well He's long gone now.
As I am from a well known motorcycle forum, for abusing the admin for being a bully. But...
Moving right along....
My only concern, is thaa Ruddy follows the Wassieland lead, and allows himself to become a triumph of style over substance.
Cut with the feel good crap, and make some fecking decisions.
Be a leader.
Tell the public what's good for them.
But hang on, he's doing that with the carbon credit crap that no-one belives in?????
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #16 on Oct 27, 2008, 11:44pm » | |
Newspoll, October 27, 2008
Preferred PM
Rudd 59% Turnbull 25%
Two Party-preferred vote:
Labor 54% Coalition 46%
This is in the midst of a serious economic downturn. Little else has been discussed in the consensus media for about three weeks (nationally, anyway). Turnbull cannot make any real gains on Rudd. It's early days yet, but maybe people genuinely don't like him, in the way they grew to dislike Keating.
I still wonder what Costello is thinking, as his book is reduced to clear at $25 at Big W, last time I looked.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #17 on Nov 10, 2008, 10:20pm » | |
Newspoll, November 11, 2008
Preferred PM:
Rudd 62
Turnbull 22
Two Party Preferred:
ALP 55
LIB/NAT 45
Undeniably high support for Rudd, nearly a year into the job. Turnbull has to turn this around, seriously. Maybe he's hoping for a genuine recession next year and expecting Rudd and Swan to falter...who knows? At the moment, Turnbull is doing better than Nelson, but not even close to good enough.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #18 on Jan 20, 2009, 9:16am » | |
NEWSPOLL 18.01.09
Two Party Preferred:
Labor 54
Lib/Nat 46
(a 10-point turnaround since last poll, but still hefty margin for Labor)
Pref PM
Rudd 60
Turnbull 22
(Rudd still in safe territory)
When job losses really start coming through, I wonder how the figures will be in about June-July?
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #19 on Feb 9, 2009, 6:22pm » | |
Newspoll, 9th Feb 2009
Labor 63 to Coalition 33 on managing the economy in a recession.
Two Party Preferred
ALP 58
LIB/NAT 42
Primary
ALP 48
LIB/NAT 36
(both landslide figures by any calculation)
Preferred PM
Rudd 62
Turnbull 20
At least now Turnbull has a reason for his unpopularity: "It was a tough, unpopular decision to block the stimulus package, but it had to be done."
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #20 on Mar 1, 2009, 8:51pm » | |
I missed posting on the late-February Newspoll, but it wasn't good for the coaliton.
From memory, Turnbull was still around 20% as Preferred Prime Minister, to Rudd's 60-something%.
The Two party preferred vote was no help to the coalition, either.
The precise figures hardly matter: we are 15 months into a government, the economy is tanking, there are no obvious or easy solutions, and the coalition is struggling to make even one percentage point against Rudd.
What the hell is going on? The honeymoon should be well and truly over.
Is it because the Liberals have yet to put up a likeable (electable) leader? Is Turnbull finished? Is the next Liberal Prime Minister even in Parliament, as we speak? Do people genuinely like Rudd?
It's got me stuffed.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #21 on Mar 10, 2009, 6:13pm » | |
Newspoll, March 2009
Two Party Preferred
ALP 56
LIB/NAT 44
Primary Vote
ALP 44
LIB 32
NAT 4
Preferred Prime Minister
Rudd 61
Turnbull 21
Uncommitted 18
Preferred Liberal Leader (might as well include this one, until further developments)
Costello 45
Turnbull 38
Uncommitted 17
One interesting thing is the fall in the ALP Primary Vote. It is still way ahead of the coalition, but it should be noted that the Greens and "others" have lifted to achieve 20% between them.
But that might also be temporary.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #22 on Mar 30, 2009, 5:23pm » | |
Age/Nielsen Poll, end of March 2009
Two party preferred:
ALP 58
LIB/NAT 42
Preferred Prime Minister
Rudd 69
Turnbull 24
Sasitfied with performance
Rudd 74
Turnbull 43
Dissatisfied with performance
Rudd 22
Turnbull 47
Primary Vote
ALP 47
LIB/NAT 37
Frankly, it's getting ridiculous and more than a little tedious to have such disparity between the parties. It's a situation where the opposition cannot make a gain anywhere, on any issue. They must be deeply frustrated.
The real risk, of course, is a complacent government. It hasn't happened yet, and with non-fixed three-year terms, isn't likely to happen, but you never know.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #23 on May 5, 2009, 6:30pm » | |
May 4, 2009 Newspoll
Preferred PM
Rudd 64
Turnbull 19
Undecided 17
(small dip for Rudd, small rise in undecided, Turnbull unchanged)
Primary Vote
ALP 42 (down 5)
LIB/NAT 35 (up 2)
GREENS 11 (up 2)
OTHERS 9 (up 2)
Two Party Preferred
ALP 55
LIB NAT 45
(6 point turnaround for coalition)
The smallest glimmer of hope for the coalition. Still no joy for Turnbull.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #24 on Jun 16, 2009, 9:19pm » | |
Newspoll, about June 15, 2009:
Two Party Preferred:
ALP 53
LIB/NAT 47
Primary Vote
ALP 41
LIB/NAT 40
Preferred Prime Minister
Rudd 57
Turnbull 25
Undecided 18
The Poll was taken (I think) before the Costello announcement. Heaven knows if that will have any bearing on the next poll. At any rate, it shows that Labor is starting to fade a little, and so is Rudd (but not disastrously so for him) and the Coalition is starting to get some much-needed traction. God, but hasn't it been a long time?
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #25 on Jul 4, 2009, 11:03am » | |
Turnbull has gone backwards in every poll since the OzCar affair (fake email, resignation demands, etc).
The Coalition are hanging around 46% of the two-party preferred vote, and about 38% of the primary.
The trouble is, there is no obvious alternate leader.
It must be profoundly disappointing and frustrating for Liberal supporters.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #26 on Jul 29, 2009, 6:44pm » | |
Newspoll, about July 27, 2009
Preferred Prime Minister
Rudd 66
Turnbull 16
Primary Vote
Alp 46
Lib/Nat 38
Can't recall the two-party preferred, but it hardly matters. Turnbull is looking like a dead duck.
Interestingly enough, Abbott is shaping himself into a kind of policy voice for the Liberals.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #27 on Aug 10, 2009, 10:49pm » | |
Newspoll, August 10, 2009
Primary Vote
ALP 45
LIB/NAT 37
(This is a clear election-winning figure, if it were to hold)
Two Party Preferred
ALP 57
LIB/NAT 43
Preferred Prime Minister
Rudd 65
Turnbull 17
Turnbull is dead meat. People have genuinely stopped listening to him (if they ever did).
Even if the TwoPartyPreferred figure comes down to, say, 53-47, or even 52.5-47.5, the Coalition will lose several more seats, making it that much harder to win in 2013.
Bold Prediction: a disaster in 2010 will split the coalition, delivering a generation of Labor government.
Even if that doesn't happen (well, it is a bold prediction!), an election loss in 2013 is likely, and it will only be due to the customary boredom of the electorate with long-term governments that will give the Coalition a chance in 2016.
The last three governments have averaged about 10 years.
Of course, there is much water to flow beneath the proverbial bridge in the meantime.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #28 on Sept 9, 2009, 12:44am » | |
Newspoll, September 9, 2009
Primary Vote:
ALP 44
LIB/NAT 39
Two Party Preferred:
ALP 55
LIB/NAT 45
Preferred Prime Minister:
Rudd 67
Turnbull 19
Has this ever happened before? A first-term PM with enduring support in the 60's, despite several policy failings and other policy doubts...it makes you wonder whether anybody else would be better leading the Liberals, or whether they have given up and will use the 2010 election to get rid of Turnbull and others, once and for all.
Still, a year to turn it around. It can be done. I'll bet now that the next election will be closer than 55-45.
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hansard
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| | Re: Rudd Government Polls
« Reply #29 on Oct 7, 2009, 6:18pm » | |
Newspoll, October 6, 2009
Two Party
58-42
Primary
46-35
Preferred PM
67-18
No need to put the names of the parties or persons next to their respective figures. This is getting ridiculous.
In the news today, the talk is of Hockey being approached to lead the Liberals. He has pledged loyalty.
Costello has formally quit, and there will be another safe-seat by-election.
Hard to believe that, just 2 years ago, these people were in government.
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